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Hoofdklasse Zondag. Matchday 24

Germania vs Alcides analysis

Germania Alcides
13 ELO 30
44% Tilt 9%
12236º General ELO ranking 6970º
417º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Germania
23%
Draw
25.3%
Alcides

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
Germania
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.3%
Win probability
Alcides
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Germania
+21%
+18%
Alcides

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SWZ
57
57
100%
MSC
49
49
100%
ROHDA Raalte
47
47
100%
Quick '20
45
45
100%
RKHVV
42
42
100%
Juliana 31
41
41
100%
Be Quick 1887
37
37
100%
Alcides
33
33
50%
De Bataven
33
33
50%
Achilles 1894
10º
31
31
10º
100%
SC NEC
11º
28
28
11º
100%
AFC Arhem
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Germania
13º
24
24
13º
100%
FVC
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Germania
Alcides
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Alcides
ALC
Germania
GER
De Bataven
DEB
ROHDA Raalte
ROH
AFC Arhem
ARH
Be Quick 1887
BEQ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Germania
Germania
1%
X%
2%
ELO GER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2015
ARH
AFC Arhem
1 - 2
Germania
GER
46%
27%
27%
186 167 -19 +1
12 Apr. 2015
GER
Germania
6 - 2
FVC
FVC
47%
27%
26%
184 153 31 +2
06 Apr. 2015
ACH
Achilles 1894
3 - 0
Germania
GER
47%
27%
26%
186 236 50 -2
29 Mar. 2015
JUL
Juliana 31
1 - 1
Germania
GER
47%
27%
26%
186 215 29 0
22 Mar. 2015
GER
Germania
0 - 2
MSC
MSC
39%
28%
33%
188 370 -182 -2

Matches

Alcides
Alcides
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2015
BEQ
Be Quick 1887
4 - 2
Alcides
ALC
45%
27%
28%
390 387 -3 -2
12 Apr. 2015
ALC
Alcides
1 - 2
ROHDA Raalte
ROH
45%
27%
28%
392 400 -8 -1
28 Mar. 2015
MSC
MSC
4 - 1
Alcides
ALC
46%
27%
27%
394 372 -22 -2
22 Mar. 2015
ALC
Alcides
0 - 2
Juliana 31
JUL
53%
25%
22%
396 213 183 -2
15 Mar. 2015
QUI
Quick '20
2 - 2
Alcides
ALC
42%
28%
31%
396 321 -75 0