Genoa vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LAZ
2 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 2
JUV
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
VER
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
GEN
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 3
ACM
29%
25%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ACM
3 - 2
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 3
ACM
8%
18%
75%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 1
EMP
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |