Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 0
BRE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
CAG
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEC
3 - 3
CAG
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
LEC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 0
UDI
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
INT
1 - 0
LEC
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 1
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |