Genoa vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
27.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
GEN
3 - 0
PAD
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSB
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
UDI
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
EMP
1 - 1
GEN
43%
32%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRI
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
LEC
3 - 1
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 0
LEC
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
FIO
1 - 1
LEC
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |