Campionato Primavera 1 round 16

Genoa U19 vs Cagliari U19 analysis

Genoa U19 Cagliari U19
38 ELO 27
-0.7% Tilt -4.8%
6606º General ELO ranking 6532º
254º Country ELO ranking 249º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Genoa U19
18.9%
Draw
13.5%
Cagliari U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
Genoa U19
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.5%
Win probability
Cagliari U19
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Genoa U19
-14%
+56%
Cagliari U19

ELO progression

Genoa U19
Cagliari U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Genoa U19
Genoa U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2012
SAM
Sampdoria U19
1 - 1
Genoa U19
GEN
39%
25%
36%
38 34 4 0
21 Jan. 2012
GEN
Genoa U19
3 - 2
Parma U19
PAR
59%
22%
19%
38 33 5 0
14 Jan. 2012
SIE
Siena U19
1 - 1
Genoa U19
GEN
23%
25%
52%
38 28 10 0
21 Dec. 2011
GEN
Genoa U19
4 - 3
Grosseto U19
GRO
77%
16%
8%
38 21 17 0
10 Dec. 2011
LIV
Livorno U19
1 - 2
Genoa U19
GEN
42%
26%
32%
37 36 1 +1

Matches

Cagliari U19
Cagliari U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2012
CAG
Cagliari U19
2 - 3
Grosseto U19
GRO
67%
19%
14%
28 21 7 0
14 Jan. 2012
SAM
Sampdoria U19
2 - 1
Cagliari U19
CAG
58%
22%
21%
29 34 5 -1
10 Dec. 2011
CAG
Cagliari U19
0 - 4
Fiorentina U19
FIO
24%
25%
52%
31 41 10 -2
03 Dec. 2011
TOR
Torino U19
3 - 0
Cagliari U19
CAG
57%
22%
21%
32 37 5 -1
27 Nov. 2011
CAG
Cagliari U19
1 - 1
Sassuolo U19
SAS
57%
22%
22%
32 27 5 0