Genk vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 6
GNK
6%
13%
81%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
GNK
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
GNK
3 - 0
FHV
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GNK
1 - 1
WAA
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AND
2 - 2
GNK
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
KVM
6 - 0
BER
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KVM
3 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 2
KVM
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KVM
0 - 2
BEE
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SDL
3 - 2
KVM
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |