Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
ANT
1 - 0
GNK
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
GNK
1 - 1
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2000 |
BRE
4 - 1
GNK
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
GNK
4 - 0
HAR
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
LIE
1 - 1
GNK
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
LIE
1 - 4
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
AND
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
ANT
1 - 0
EXC
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 0
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
KSK
0 - 0
EXC
20%
24%
57%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |