Genemuiden vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
10º
3º
57
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DET
3 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 1
HUI
59%
20%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HZV
0 - 3
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 0
DHS
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 2
GEN
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 0
BUI
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 2
AZS
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
AJA
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
0 - 1
APE
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |