Genemuiden vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
10º
3º
32
4º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AZS
0 - 0
GEN
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 1
BER
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 0
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GEN
4 - 1
APE
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 5
URK
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
BUI
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BUI
0 - 0
AZS
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
BUI
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BUI
0 - 3
SWI
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
BUI
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |