Gemert vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DOS
2 - 2
GEM
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GEM
3 - 0
DON
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
GEM
26%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 0
BLA
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AWC
1 - 5
OSS
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OSS
2 - 1
DOS
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OSS
5 - 0
DEU
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 4
OSS
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OSS
6 - 1
SCH
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |