Gemert vs OJC Rosmalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
12º
6º
36
5º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
94% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 3
GEM
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GEM
4 - 1
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
4 - 2
GEM
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GEM
1 - 3
STE
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
5 - 0
GEM
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
OJC Rosmalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
OJC
1 - 5
HOE
33%
22%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
OJC
1 - 8
ALM
7%
13%
80%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OJC
1 - 4
BLA
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
OJC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OJC
2 - 2
MEE
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |