Gelbison vs Pomigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASF
0 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GEL
3 - 1
ACC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
USB
2 - 1
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 2
FRA
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
GEL
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
POM
2 - 3
BRI
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 0
POM
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
POM
1 - 1
BAC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 0
POM
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POM
4 - 1
ISC
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |