Gelbison vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DAT
0 - 1
GEL
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GEL
4 - 0
ROC
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
GEL
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 3
USC
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 0
ROT
54%
26%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 0
PAT
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 1
CCI
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 1
PAT
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
MDR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BIA
0 - 1
PAT
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |