Gelbison vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
GEL
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
GEL
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GEL
3 - 1
ASD
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
LUC
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
0 - 1
MES
40%
28%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MES
3 - 0
ROT
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 2
MES
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
CCI
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |