Gelbison vs Grottaglie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FSG
2 - 2
GEL
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 2
NOC
30%
28%
43%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASP
2 - 0
GEL
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 2
USV
80%
13%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Grottaglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
ISC
17%
22%
62%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 2
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAT
3 - 0
GRO
82%
12%
5%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |