Gelbison vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 1
FCT
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BRI
4 - 1
GEL
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAC
3 - 3
GEL
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |