Gefle vs BK Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 3
GEF
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
GEF
0 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
VAS
2 - 3
GEF
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MJÄ
3 - 2
GEF
52%
23%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
GEF
2 - 2
SYL
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BKF
2 - 3
HÄC
13%
20%
68%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |