GE Bagé vs Rio Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
SSR
0 - 1
GEB
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 3
LAJ
31%
27%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 3
GEB
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECS
9%
18%
73%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
SSR
2 - 0
RIO
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 3
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
ECS
6 - 1
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
GEB
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
RIO
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |