Gazélec Ajaccio vs Olympique Marseille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
6º
2º
31
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LUC
3 - 0
GAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GAZ
2 - 3
EUA
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GAZ
0 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
GAZ
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
4 - 1
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
IST
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 5
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAN
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RSV
2 - 1
MAR
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |