Gavião vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
GAV
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
GAV
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 2
IAC
9%
15%
76%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 3
CEC
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
REM
4 - 1
GAV
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
BPA
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
TAP
2 - 2
CAS
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
VOL
12%
19%
69%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
TUN
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
SCI
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |