Gateshead vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUL
3 - 1
GAT
26%
26%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GAT
1 - 1
ALD
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GAT
1 - 3
LIN
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 2
GAT
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
GAT
4 - 1
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BRO
3 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 4
NOR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
WEA
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ALD
2 - 1
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |