Gateshead vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
0 - 1
KID
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
1 - 1
GAT
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
GAT
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 0
GLO
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GAT
4 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 0
AFC
41%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
FAR
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 2
FAR
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 2
CHE
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 2
KID
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |