National League . Jor. 1

Gateshead vs Chester analysis

Gateshead Chester
48 ELO 44
10.8% Tilt -6.1%
2895º General ELO ranking 3042º
98º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
54%
Gateshead
22.4%
Draw
23.6%
Chester

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Gateshead
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.6%
Win probability
Chester
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gateshead
+17%
-9%
Chester

ELO progression

Gateshead
Chester
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gateshead
Gateshead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2016
GAT
Gateshead
2 - 0
Darlington FC
DAR
38%
24%
38%
48 51 3 0
12 Jul. 2016
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 4
Gateshead
GAT
50%
25%
25%
48 48 0 0
09 Jul. 2016
BLY
Blyth Spartans
0 - 3
Gateshead
GAT
50%
25%
25%
47 48 1 +1
30 Apr. 2016
CHE
Chester
4 - 2
Gateshead
GAT
41%
26%
34%
49 45 4 -2
23 Apr. 2016
GAT
Gateshead
3 - 1
Bromley
BRO
51%
23%
27%
48 47 1 +1

Matches

Chester
Chester
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2016
CHE
Chester
1 - 2
Burnley Sub 21
FCB
61%
21%
19%
46 40 6 0
26 Jul. 2016
NAN
Nantwich Town
1 - 1
Chester
CHE
47%
24%
29%
46 47 1 0
23 Jul. 2016
MAR
Marine
3 - 5
Chester
CHE
19%
24%
57%
46 33 13 0
13 Jul. 2016
WIG
Wigan Athletic
0 - 0
Chester
CHE
74%
18%
9%
46 68 22 0
30 Apr. 2016
CHE
Chester
4 - 2
Gateshead
GAT
41%
26%
34%
45 49 4 +1
X