Gares vs Cirbonero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
18º
17º
45
7º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
GAR
58%
23%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 3
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
GAR
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
SJU
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BID
2 - 0
GAR
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAM
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
BET
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
VAL
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |