Gareji vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
7º
2º
66
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
GAR
44%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 1
DTB
9%
21%
70%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
GAR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
GAR
0 - 0
NOR
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAR
63%
18%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
LOK
64%
20%
17%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
SPA
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 1
DTB
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAR
63%
18%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |