Gambia vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
GMB
0 - 1
TGO
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
TGO
1 - 1
GMB
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GMB
1 - 1
DZA
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GMB
1 - 1
CAF
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MLI
4 - 0
GMB
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
DZA
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
DZA
2 - 0
BEN
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TGO
0 - 0
BEN
31%
25%
43%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 3
COG
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
TZA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |