Gambia vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
COD
1 - 0
GMB
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
GMB
1 - 0
AGO
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
GMB
2 - 1
GAB
33%
26%
40%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
GAB
2 - 1
GMB
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
GMB
1 - 0
COG
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MDG
0 - 0
NER
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NER
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
60%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
COD
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
COG
1 - 1
NER
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LBY
0 - 0
NER
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |