SD Gama vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NOJ
0 - 0
GAM
29%
24%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GAM
1 - 1
ATM
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
VLE
2 - 4
GAM
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GAM
4 - 2
AYR
48%
24%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
RAM
1 - 4
GAM
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PRE
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAY
46%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOJ
0 - 4
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATM
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VLE
4 - 1
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |