SD Gama vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
GAM
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 0
GAM
53%
23%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 1
PON
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 2
TRO
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 1
TEX
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
SIE
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PON
1 - 0
CAS
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |