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Brasiliense. Etapas Finales, Quarters

Aggregate 2-2. Ida 1-0

Gama vs Paracatu analysis

Gama Paracatu
35 ELO 48
20% Tilt -33%
1961º General ELO ranking 15478º
191º Country ELO ranking 478º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Gama
26.4%
Draw
19.8%
Paracatu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
Gama
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.8%
Win probability
Paracatu
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%