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Brasiliense. Matchday 14

Gama vs Paracatu analysis

Gama Paracatu
49 ELO 45
35% Tilt 38%
4126º General ELO ranking 20314º
261º Country ELO ranking 523º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Gama
21.1%
Draw
24.4%
Paracatu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
Gama
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.4%
Win probability
Paracatu
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gama
+15%
+6%
Paracatu

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brasiliense
30
30
100%
Ceilândia
27
28
100%
Real Futebol Clube
26
26
100%
Brazlândia
22
24
100%
Gama
19
19
100%
Legião
17
17
100%
Paracatu
6
6
100%
Botafogo DF
5
5
100%
Expected probabilities
Gama
Paracatu
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Gama
GAM
Paracatu
PAR
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
Corinthians
COR
Goiás EC
GOI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gama
Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO GAM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2008
LEG
Legião
3 - 1
Gama
GAM
36%
28%
36%
921 499 -422 -1
06 Apr. 2008
BRA
Brasiliense
0 - 2
Gama
GAM
53%
25%
22%
920 1111 191 +1
28 Mar. 2008
GAM
Gama
4 - 0
Botafogo DF
BDF
64%
21%
15%
920 247 673 +1
22 Mar. 2008
DOM
Real Futebol Clube
1 - 0
Gama
GAM
36%
28%
36%
920 499 -421 -1
16 Mar. 2008
CEI
Ceilândia
3 - 2
Gama
GAM
36%
27%
37%
921 420 -501 -1

Matches

Paracatu
Paracatu
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2008
PAR
Paracatu
0 - 1
Ceilândia
CEI
54%
25%
21%
787 422 365 -1
06 Apr. 2008
BSE
Brazlândia
1 - 1
Paracatu
PAR
46%
27%
26%
787 799 12 0
26 Mar. 2008
PAR
Paracatu
0 - 0
Real Futebol Clube
DOM
53%
26%
21%
787 499 288 0
21 Mar. 2008
BDF
Botafogo DF
2 - 3
Paracatu
PAR
33%
27%
40%
787 247 -540 0
16 Mar. 2008
LEG
Legião
3 - 0
Paracatu
PAR
39%
27%
34%
788 500 -288 -1