Gama vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
LUZ
2 - 4
GAM
20%
22%
57%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
GAM
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
GAM
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GAM
1 - 1
COT
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
LUZ
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
DOM
2 - 4
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
5%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAP
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |