Gama vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 3
GAM
14%
21%
64%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 0
GAM
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GAM
2 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
TUP
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
RIO
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MIN
2 - 1
ITU
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 0
GAM
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |