Brasiliense Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Gama vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 2
GAM
12%
18%
70%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GAM
1 - 0
TAG
30%
24%
47%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
DOM
0 - 1
GAM
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
GAM
4 - 1
SOB
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 2
GAM
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAP
43%
24%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BFC
0 - 5
FOR
9%
15%
77%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
LUZ
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
CEI
0 - 1
FOR
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |