Gama vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 1
GAM
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUV
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
GAM
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
CEI
39%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
LUZ
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |