Gama vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
REM
1 - 0
GAM
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
GAM
10%
18%
72%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
GAM
1 - 2
GOI
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 2
GAM
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 0
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
DOM
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 0
SOB
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
SED
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAP
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |