Gama vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
GAM
5 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
GAM
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
GAM
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 2
BRA
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
DOM
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |