Brasiliense . Final
Global 4-0
Gama vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
GAM
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
CDF
77%
17%
7%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
LUZ
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 1
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |