Série D Brazil Ronda final. 1/16
Global 0-2
Galvez EC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 4
GAL
10%
14%
77%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 5
CAS
25%
25%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAS
0 - 3
GAL
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 3
GAL
12%
17%
72%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 2
MOT
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 2
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
TOC
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 2
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |