Wales U19s vs Austria U-19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
GIB
2 - 9
WLS
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IRL
2 - 0
WLS
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 0
HUN
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
KOS
0 - 3
WLS
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
5 - 0
WLS
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Austria U-19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ROU
2 - 0
AUT
21%
24%
56%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 0
LVA
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 0
LTU
89%
8%
2%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
SVK
1 - 0
AUT
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AUT
3 - 2
SRB
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |