European U21 Championship qualifying Grupo I Round 5

Wales U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis

Wales U21 Lithuania U21
58 ELO 39
-7.8% Tilt -0.2%
3585º General ELO ranking 7099º
22º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
74.3%
Wales U21
16.5%
Draw
9.2%
Lithuania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
Wales U21
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
Lithuania U21
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wales U21
+5%
-19%
Lithuania U21

ELO progression

Wales U21
Lithuania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wales U21
Wales U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2023
WAL
Wales U21
1 - 2
Denmark U21
DEN
18%
22%
60%
58 72 14 0
16 Nov. 2023
WAL
Wales U21
1 - 0
Iceland U21
ISL
35%
26%
39%
57 60 3 +1
13 Oct. 2023
CZE
Czech Republic U21
1 - 1
Wales U21
WAL
63%
21%
15%
57 69 12 0
12 Sep. 2023
LTU
Lithuania U21
2 - 3
Wales U21
WAL
9%
18%
73%
57 39 18 0
08 Sep. 2023
WAL
Wales U21
4 - 0
Liechtenstein U21
LIE
76%
16%
9%
57 11 46 0

Matches

Lithuania U21
Lithuania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
MLT
Malta U21
1 - 2
Lithuania U21
LTU
36%
23%
41%
39 31 8 0
17 Oct. 2023
LTU
Lithuania U21
0 - 1
Iceland U21
ISL
9%
18%
73%
39 60 21 0
12 Sep. 2023
LTU
Lithuania U21
2 - 3
Wales U21
WAL
9%
18%
73%
39 57 18 0
16 Jun. 2023
LTU
Lithuania U21
1 - 2
Denmark U21
DEN
7%
18%
75%
39 74 35 0
20 Nov. 2022
LTU
Lithuania U21
1 - 2
Latvia U21
LVA
34%
27%
39%
40 42 2 -1