Wales U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 2
DEN
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 0
ISL
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CZE
1 - 1
WAL
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
LTU
2 - 3
WAL
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
4 - 0
LIE
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MLT
1 - 2
LTU
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LTU
0 - 1
ISL
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
LTU
2 - 3
WAL
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 2
DEN
7%
18%
75%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LTU
1 - 2
LVA
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |