Gagra vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 1
SIO
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 1
GAG
41%
23%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
GAG
2 - 0
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DTB
2 - 1
GAG
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GAG
1 - 4
DBA
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 2
LVI
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
VYS
44%
24%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
KOL
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAK
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |