Gagra vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
GAG
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
GAG
2 - 0
SHE
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
DBA
3 - 0
GAG
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GAG
4 - 1
SHU
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
TSK
1 - 2
GAG
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
3 - 0
SAM
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SHU
2 - 0
SAM
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
WIT
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
TEL
5 - 2
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 4
MER
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |