Gaddafi vs Uganda Revenue Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 1
GAD
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
GAD
2 - 2
OND
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
EXP
1 - 0
GAD
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GAD
2 - 1
SCV
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 2
GAD
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
URA
1 - 1
WAK
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
URA
2 - 0
MCF
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
OND
1 - 1
URA
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
URA
0 - 0
EXP
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
SCV
2 - 2
URA
34%
28%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |