Fylde vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FYL
3 - 0
WAR
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FYL
2 - 3
SKE
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
WAK
0 - 1
FYL
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 1
FYL
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 1
FYL
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 1
CHE
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 0
CAM
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 2
CUR
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 2
LAN
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |