Fylde vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 2
FYL
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 0
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FYL
4 - 1
BOS
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 1
COL
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 0
FYL
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
KID
0 - 2
CHE
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
KID
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KID
0 - 1
GLO
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 2
KID
16%
23%
62%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
KID
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |