Fylde vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
FYL
2 - 0
SPE
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
FYL
12%
19%
68%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FYL
1 - 0
GLO
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
FYL
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FYL
2 - 1
KID
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
GAT
3 - 2
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
GAT
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GAT
3 - 1
BOS
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 3
GAT
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GAT
3 - 0
GLO
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |