Eppelborn vs Dudenhofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
10.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.4%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
0.1%
0
15.4%
64.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
6%
2-3
6%
3-4
3%
4-5
0.9%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
4.8%
3-5
1.9%
4-6
0.5%
5-7
0.1%
6-8
0%
-2
17%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
3.1%
3-6
1%
4-7
0.2%
5-8
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
1.7%
3-7
0.5%
4-8
0.1%
5-9
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.8%
3-8
0.2%
4-9
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0.1%
4-10
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
2-11
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+175%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 54 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 50 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 39 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 34 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 34 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 32 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 28 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 28 |
15º
|
5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 31 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 27 |
17º
|
6% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 26 |
18º
|
6% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 24 |
19º
|
7% | |
|
20º
|
12 | 23 |
20º
|
7% | |
|
21º
|
9 | 23 |
21º
|
8% | |
|
22º
|
8 | 14 |
24º
|
15% | |
|
|
23º
|
6 | 17 |
22º
|
18% | |
|
24º
|
6 | 15 |
23º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 5% |
| Promotion playoffs | 1% | 91% |
| Relegation playoffs | 10% | 3% |
| Mid-table | 89% | 1% |
ELO progression
EPP
DUD
JAG
MEC
RVO
DIE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eppelborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO EPP | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MEC
4 - 1
EPP
42%
28%
30%
|
129 | 71 | -58 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
EPP
2 - 1
FVS
47%
27%
26%
|
129 | 68 | 61 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EPP
4 - 1
RVO
47%
27%
26%
|
127 | 78 | 49 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ELV
3 - 2
EPP
45%
27%
28%
|
135 | 150 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
EPP
0 - 1
ARL
45%
27%
28%
|
136 | 127 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dudenhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO DUD | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DUD
4 - 2
RVO
45%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ELV
1 - 3
DUD
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 142 | 66 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ARL
4 - 3
DUD
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 122 | 45 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUD
0 - 2
WWO
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 250 | -172 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
HWI
3 - 2
DUD
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 146 | 63 | -1 |