Bad Vilbel vs Basara Mainz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FVB
1 - 4
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VIK
0 - 0
FVB
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FVB
2 - 0
FCE
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
FVB
0 - 1
SVZ
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ROT
1 - 1
FVB
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Basara Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
RWW
5 - 4
BAS
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
VFB
1 - 2
BAS
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
SMA
9%
14%
78%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | +1 |