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Premier League. Matchday 38

Fulham Newcastle
69 ELO 72
-53% Tilt 13%
290º General ELO ranking 168º
21º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
20.9%
Fulham
31.1%
Draw
48%
Newcastle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
Fulham
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.3%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.1%
48%
Win probability
Newcastle
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fulham
-28%
+12%
Newcastle

Basic stats

64
36
POS
13
9
SOT
5
4
COR
0
2
GF
2
0
GC
6
14
FRK
69
72
ELO
0.7
1.2
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Fulham
Their league position
Newcastle
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
12º
19º
18º
45
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
86
86
100%
Man. Utd
74
74
100%
Liverpool
69
69
100%
Chelsea
67
67
100%
Leicester
66
66
100%
West Ham
65
65
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
62
62
100%
Arsenal
61
61
100%
Leeds United
59
59
50%
Everton
10º
59
59
10º
50%
Aston Villa
11º
55
55
11º
100%
Newcastle
12º
45
45
13º
50%
Wolves
13º
45
45
12º
50%
Crystal Palace
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Southampton
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Burnley
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Fulham
18º
28
28
18º
100%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
26
26
19º
100%
Sheffield United
20º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fulham
Newcastle
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Fulham
FUL
Newcastle
NEW
York City
YOR
Doncaster Rovers
THE
Alfreton Town
THE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO FUL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
1 - 1
Fulham
FUL
81%
13%
6%
1833 3300 1467 +11
15 May. 2021
SOU
Southampton
3 - 1
Fulham
FUL
59%
22%
19%
1844 2358 514 -10
10 May. 2021
FUL
Fulham
0 - 2
Burnley
BUR
44%
27%
29%
1861 2073 -212 -18
01 May. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Fulham
FUL
81%
13%
6%
1864 3320 1456 -3
18 Apr. 2021
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Fulham
FUL
80%
13%
6%
1854 3104 1250 +10

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO NEW ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
57%
23%
20%
2057 1684 373 +8
14 May. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
3 - 4
Man. City
MAC
18%
21%
61%
2059 3904 -1845 -2
07 May. 2021
LEI
Leicester
2 - 4
Newcastle
NEW
64%
20%
16%
2030 2749 719 +30
02 May. 2021
NEW
Newcastle
0 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
30%
26%
44%
2038 3066 -1028 -8
24 Apr. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
81%
13%
6%
2028 3481 1453 +11